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The Week Ahead In Russia podcast takes a hard look at developments in Russia, its war against Ukraine, and its relations with the rest of the world. It's hosted each Monday by Steve Gutterman, author of RFE/RL's The Week In Russia newsletter, and features a rotating panel of guests.
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Commodities | Trading | Research | Gold, Silver, Oil, Platinum - New Forecasts Each Week 🗓 To Help You With Your Trades 💹 Follow Us On Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/user/GoldAndSilverClub1 - #Gold price forecast, gold forecast, #silverprice, #goldprice, #how totrade #goldandsilver, #commodity report, #crudeoil, #commodity #trading, gold, #silver, #platinum, #copper, #learntotrade, #currencies, #wealth, #xau, #xag, #oil, #fx, #aud, #eur, #nzd, #cad, how to #trade #forex, #dollar, #metals, ...
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (03:05), we have ISM, payroll reports and communication from key Fed officials. In Europe (06:35), we have PMI, inflation and uemployment data. Then it’s the latest from Asia (9:30), with a central bank meeting in Indi…
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When I was nine, my father was elected to the Irish parliament and joined the new government. Not long after that, my history teacher, a man of the opposite political persuasion, was expounding on the Norman conquest of Ireland and the attempts of the local Irish clans to wage war against them….”not like the “wage war” we have with the current gove…
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Gunmen killed at least 137 people at a concert hall outside Moscow in the deadliest terror attack in Russia in 20 years. Why did this happen now, what does it mean, and how will the Russian state respond? Author and analyst Mark Galeotti, an honorary professor at the UCL School of Slavonic and East European Studies in London, joins host Steve Gutte…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (02:10), we have the PCE deflator, consumer confidence and durable goods orders. In Europe (07:06), it’s the euro area consumer confidence, money supply and French, Italian and Spanish flash inflation. Then it’s the la…
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This week, investors will be focused on the Fed’s second Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the year. They are widely expected to make no change in interest rates. However, Fed communications will provide guidance on two important subjects: First, they will update their summary of economic projections and their “dot-plot” forecast for …
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (02:55), we have the Federal Reserve meeting and press conference with Fed Chair Powell. In the UK (11:36), we have the Bank of England meeting and CPI data, and in Europe, the latest ZEW surveys and several ECB speake…
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Financial reporters and market strategists often argue about whether we are “early-cycle”, “mid-cycle” or “late-cycle”. However, these perspectives are based on an outdated model of how the U.S. economy behaves. In a pure “business-cycle” paradigm, the U.S. economy would, today, be in the late innings of an economic expansion that must naturally en…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (04:36), we have CPI, retail sales and PPI. In Europe (11:07), it’s the euro area industrial production, Sweden and Norway CPI and UK labour market data. Then it’s the latest from Asia (13:49), with India and China CPI…
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On Friday, December 29th, 1989, the Nikkei 225 stock index hit an all-time high of 38,957. It then began to fall and it took until February 22nd of this year, more than a third of a century later, to reach this level again. Today, for the first time, it closed above 40,000. This ultra-long bear market in Japanese stocks was accompanied by the colla…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In North America (01:16), we have ISM and Payrolls, testimony from Fed Chair Powell and a Bank of Canada policy meeting. In Europe (05:19), the focus will be on the European Central Bank meeting and post-meeting press conference…
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In last week’s article and podcast, I looked at the potential path for the U.S. economy over the next two years, noting that the outlook suggested a very tight labor market throughout. This would be a generally healthy outcome for the country, boosting economic growth and productivity and supporting solid wage growth. To the extent that it maintain…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (02:11), we have core PCE inflation, house prices and consumer confidence. In Europe (07:00), it’s the euro area consumer confidence, French, German and Spanish flash inflation and UK lending data. Then it’s the latest…
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I spent most of last week fighting with a model. Before anyone starts googling “Nerdy Economist in Fashion Week Brawl”, I should clarify. I was fighting with a macroeconomic model that insisted on telling me something I didn’t believe. To be precise, it was projecting that, given the recent and projected pace of U.S. economic growth, the unemployme…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (02:38), we have the latest Fed meeting minutes and jobless claims, Fed-speak and PMI data. In Europe (05:49), the focus will be on inflation expectations, PMI data and communication from ECB officials. Then it’s the l…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (02:20), we have CPI, retail sales, industrial production and PPI. In Europe (06:11), it’s the UK CPI, GDP, labour market data and the German ZEW. Then it’s the latest from Asia (11:12) with the Australian labour marke…
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I think of myself as a pretty punctual person. I get impatient when others are late and I don’t give myself much time to spare when catching a flight. But sometimes, like when spending time with family, it’s OK to run a little behind schedule. One month into 2024, the economic slowdown appears to be running behind schedule. Growth is stronger than …
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The fate of Ukraine’s commander in chief is in doubt. So is the fate of future U.S. military aid. Christopher Miller, Ukraine correspondent for the Financial Times and the author of the book The War Came To Us: Life And Death In Ukraine, joins host Steve Gutterman to discuss what may happen and what it could mean as Russia’s full-scale invasion app…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (02:27), we have the service sector ISM report and the Fed’s latest Senior Loan Officer survey. In Europe (06:53), the focus will be on German industrial production, the February Sentix survey of investor sentiment and…
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Author and analyst Mark Galeotti joins host Steve Gutterman to discuss the mysterious Russian military plane crash that Moscow claims killed 65 Ukrainian POWs, the verdict against nationalist Putin critic Igor Girkin, and the would-be presidential candidacy of Boris Nadezhdin.Bởi Steve Gutterman
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This Friday, the groundhog will emerge unwillingly from his lair, examine the available evidence, that is to say, the presence or absence of his shadow, and, in all probability, reject any speculation about an early spring - at least for the next six weeks. According to USA Today, this has been the groundhog’s prediction in 107 of the last 127 year…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (2:15), we have ISM manufacturing, non-farm payrolls and the FOMC meeting. In Europe (05:42) it’s the Bank of England and Riksbank’s policy decisions, euro area GDP and flash inflation. Then it’s the latest from Asia (…
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Last Friday, as much of America was settling in for the coldest weekend of the year, the University of Michigan released its preliminary January reading on consumer sentiment. The numbers were a pleasant surprise – the consumer sentiment index jumped 9.1 points to a reading of 78.8 – the best number seen since July 2021. This confirmed other signs …
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While Russia’s war on Ukraine may not end in 2024, this could be a make-or-break year for Kyiv’s defense against the invasion. Will the European Union come through with sufficient support? Marie Dumoulin, Director of the Wider Europe program at the European Council on Foreign Relations, joins host Steve Gutterman to discuss.…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (01:12), we have Q4 GDP, January purchasing manager index (PMI) and key inflation data. In Europe (09:15), the focus will be on the ECB policy meeting, a German IFO report and PMI data. Then it’s the latest from Asia (…
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Every January, firms throughout the financial industry, including our own, hold annual training meetings or conferences. One of the highlights of these meetings is an award for salesperson or sales team of the year. These titles are hard-earned and well-deserved. At least for our own firm, I can say that the winners are always those who, not only a…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (02:29), we have retail sales, industrial production and UoM consumer expectations. In Europe (06:57), it’s the Germany ZEW survey, ECB December meeting minutes, UK labour market and CPI data. Then it’s the latest from…
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Among the many comments on inflation in the minutes of the last FOMC meeting was the following, rather gloomy, prediction: Several participants assessed that healing in supply chains and labor supply was largely complete, and therefore that continued progress on reducing inflation may need to come from further softening in product and labor demand …
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (01:52), we have CPI inflation and trade data, several speeches by Fed officials, and monthly bond supply. In Europe (04:20), we’ll receive investor, consumer confidence and unemployment data, and German factory orders…
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As one year ends and another starts, I often think about a personal balance sheet for the year gone by and make some resolutions for the year ahead. For myself and our own family, 2023 was a pretty good year, particularly relative to the pandemic-scarred years at the start of this decade. As for resolutions, apart from the usual healthy-living aspi…
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Vladimir Putin vows to achieve his goals in the war on Ukraine as he heads toward another Kremlin term, while uncertainty looms over the future of Western support for Kyiv’s defense against the Russian invasion. What’s in store for Russia and Ukraine in 2024? Analyst and author Mark Galeotti joins host Steve Gutterman to discuss.…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (01:17), we have consumer confidence, PCE deflator and new/existing home sales. In Europe (04:20), it’s the Euro Area consumer confidence, German IFO survey, UK CPI and retail sales. Then it’s the latest from Asia (09:…
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As winter weather envelops the homes of New England, our thoughts naturally turn to warmer days and maybe a beach house on Cape Cod. Of course, if you intend to rent such a house for a week next summer, it’s pretty much a roll of the dice. You could get lovely weather or it could rain every day. However, if you plan to buy a beach house on Cape Cod…
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In this episode of our Week Ahead podcast series, we look at the main themes driving global markets over the coming week. In the US (01:34), the highlights will be CPI, retail sales, and industrial production data, along with the final FOMC meeting of the year. In Europe (05:58), we have industrial production data and the ECB and BOE meetings. Then…
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One of the least pleasant aspects of winter is driving on icy roads as the snow piles up in front of you. Long experience has taught us that winter driving is possible. But it is slower, with a narrower margin for error, and a greater chance of sliding off the road. Similarly, if we extend the economic forecast horizon to encompass not just 2024 bu…
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