What the pollsters missed in Trump v Harris - Instant Grace 28 with Jim Babka

Gracearchy with Jim Babka

No one has correctly described the Late, Great Trump Undercount. The most popular explanation is comical - it's a laugh-out-loud moment in this episode.

As Jim Babka explains, the polling business includes a built-in fuzziness, so that the polls were "technically" accurate. So why is it that the pollsters, the media, and millions of Americans were caught off-guard as Trump clinched unexpected victories in all the battleground states? Why were we astonished that he won the popular vote? How come no one foresaw Trump's surprising gains among college-educated and Latino voters?

When you're done watching this episode, you'll understand how the media uses polls, and the very specific reasons they seem so inaccurate the morning after most elections. And, unsurprisingly to Gracearchy subscribers, poll-driven campaign coverage damages social harmony - Jim explains that part, too.

Wall Street Journal article quoted in this episode: https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/pollsters-were-blindsided-by-breadth-of-trump-win-373ea9b9

Conflict Machine explained: https://theexitnetwork.substack.com/p/the-conflict-machine-explains-our

Jim referenced the book, "The Alchemy of Finance: Reading the Mind of the Market" by George Soros.

Bill Protzmann is your moderator.

ZERO AGGRESSION PROJECT - https://zeroaggressionproject.org/ - is our sponsor.

But the views expressed are exclusively those of the participants, and not necessarily those of the board, staff, or supporters of the Zero Aggression Project.

Zero Aggression Project is a non-profit organization that does not endorse or support any candidates for public office.

Be grace-full to each other.