Chuyển sang chế độ ngoại tuyến với ứng dụng Player FM !
What The Polls Are Really Telling You with Pew Research Center's Jocelyn Kiley
Manage episode 445564711 series 3352155
At this moment, weeks shy of the 2024 election, the polls are showing that the race between Trump and Harris is neck and neck. It’s tight nationally. It’s tight in all the swing states. If you think you know who’s going to win, you’re going on gut, not numbers.
So what good are polls this year? In Eric's class at the University of Chicago, he put the question to guest speaker Jocelyn Kiley, senior associate director, US politics and public opinion at the Pew Research Center. It turns out that polls can tell you a lot, even now, if you know how to look. Jocelyn and I discuss the stability of poll results this year despite events like the assassination attempts and what that says about the information environment. We’ll discuss how to tell trustworthy polls from slapdash ones; and we’ll cover how you really should read polls, which is not to find out who’s ahead in the horse race.
This interview was recorded live in my class at the University of Chicago’s Graham School on October 7th.
Website - free episode transcripts
www.in-reality.fm
Produced by Sound Sapien
soundsapien.com
Alliance for Trust in Media
alliancefortrust.com
58 tập
Manage episode 445564711 series 3352155
At this moment, weeks shy of the 2024 election, the polls are showing that the race between Trump and Harris is neck and neck. It’s tight nationally. It’s tight in all the swing states. If you think you know who’s going to win, you’re going on gut, not numbers.
So what good are polls this year? In Eric's class at the University of Chicago, he put the question to guest speaker Jocelyn Kiley, senior associate director, US politics and public opinion at the Pew Research Center. It turns out that polls can tell you a lot, even now, if you know how to look. Jocelyn and I discuss the stability of poll results this year despite events like the assassination attempts and what that says about the information environment. We’ll discuss how to tell trustworthy polls from slapdash ones; and we’ll cover how you really should read polls, which is not to find out who’s ahead in the horse race.
This interview was recorded live in my class at the University of Chicago’s Graham School on October 7th.
Website - free episode transcripts
www.in-reality.fm
Produced by Sound Sapien
soundsapien.com
Alliance for Trust in Media
alliancefortrust.com
58 tập
Tất cả các tập
×Chào mừng bạn đến với Player FM!
Player FM đang quét trang web để tìm các podcast chất lượng cao cho bạn thưởng thức ngay bây giờ. Đây là ứng dụng podcast tốt nhất và hoạt động trên Android, iPhone và web. Đăng ký để đồng bộ các theo dõi trên tất cả thiết bị.