Nobody Knows Anything

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Does anyone who makes predictions in the financial news media know anything? Lots of headlines are making predictions so why not add some perspective from past bear markets (and bull markets) where many things’ people say never came true. Why investors make bad decisions due to news. How investors opt to stay in cash even as markets firm up. We’ll go through some past predictions to see how the mood sways at different points in cycles.

What the financial media is saying

New estimates and predictions are taking a bearish tone

Reading prior headlines from several periods show predictions aren’t worth that much

Why investors tend to shy away from markets even when things are cheaper

How analyst estimates can be wrong while the market focuses on the forward PE ratio

Mentioned in this Episode:

Why hedging is the answer for investors https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why-hedging-is-the-answer-for-portfolios-can-hedgers/id1432836154?i=1000578323267

Is the strong us dollar a problem? https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/is-the-strong-us-dollar-a-problem/id1432836154?i=1000571388439

Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr

Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com

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